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Current S&P 500 Economic Model Prediction

September 5, 2019

In responding to feedback, the economic model has been revised for the sake of simplicity to provide a more useable dashboard. The output is the chance of a large correction classified into three categories (low, drawdown>10%, drawdown >15%) and the predicted direction for the S&P500 over the next 90 days ( Bullish: >5% expected return, Sideways: >-5% <5% expected return, Bearish: <-5% expected return). Below is the current update. We will provide some backtests very soon, preliminary results are quite promising. Investor IQ plans to launch a website soon to provide access to this model in real time along with current ETF and stock analytics.

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